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Tuesday, January 13, 2015

Pension funds come of age, give more returns than PF

NEW DELHI: They reached late, but NPS ( National Pension System) investors have  finally joined the party in the capital markets. An analysis by ET shows that   NPS schemes have  generated better returns than the provident fund. The average NPS fund for  Central government workers has given 10.35% returns since launch, while the  average state government scheme has delivered 10.84%.

 The NPS schemes for the general public have also done very well, thanks to the  bullishness in the equity markets and the recent rally in bonds. The average  equity fund has generated 14.6%, while the corporate bond fund has given 10.6%.  Gilt funds have given average returns of 9.9%. These calculations are based on  SIP returns on monthly contributions from inception till December 2014.

The high returns should be music to the ears of the estimated 36 lakh government  employees (14 lakh central government and 22 lakh state government) who have  nearly Rs. 53,500 crore invested in NPS. Three pension funds manage this gigantic corpus,  which is almost 92% of the assets under management (AUM) of the NPS.

But the higher returns have been accompanied by greater volatility. The NPS  funds did very well in 2012-13, but gave pathetic returns in the following year.  As bond yields shot up in 2013-14, the SIP returns of the average Central  government fund was 5.4% while the average state government fund grew only 4.9%.  The 18% returns from equities that year didn't help much as these funds had only  a small portion of their corpus in stocks.
 
Pension funds come of age, give more returns than PFThe Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority (PFRDA) allows NPS  managers to invest up to 15% in equities, but no pension fund manager has ever  hit that ceiling. As on November 30, 2014, the central government scheme of UTI  Retirement Solution had only 11.48% in stocks, while the fund managed by SBI  Pension Fund had allocated only 8.25% to equities. "The unsaid benchmark use for  the central government NPS is the EPFO rate of return. Therefore, PF managers keep a lower allocation to stocks. But this compromises the long-term return potential of the  scheme. They should ideally increase the exposure to equity," says Manoj Nagpal,  head of marketing and business development at Zyfin Advisors and founder CEO of  Outlook Asia Capital.

Despite the conservative allocation, NPS funds have given good returns in the  first nine months of 2014-15. This is due to the bond rally in 2014. The 10-year  benchmark bond yield fell 135 basis points — from 9.1% in April 2014 to around  7.8% by the end of 2014 — pumping adrenaline into the NAVs of funds overweight  on government bonds. The average SIP return of the gilt funds in 2014-15 is  close to 22%, better than the 20% delivered by the equity funds in the  period.

In the NPS segment for the private sector, the E class (equity) funds have done  well with average SIP returns of 14.6% since the scheme was thrown open to the  public in May 2009. ET looked at the returns of four types of investors in the  past three fiscals and since launch (see table).

Interestingly, ICICI Prudential Pension Fund has been the best performing  pension fund for all four investor types. Kotak Pension Fund and SBI Pension  Fund are tied for the second position. 
 

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